New Orleans vs Indianapolis (-5)
I know I shouldn't go based on one game but that NFC Championship really turned me off to New Orleans. To turn a team over five times and still need overtime in your building to win was off-putting. I'll be rooting for the Saints but their performance two weeks ago and the fact that nobody has beaten Peyton Manning this year is giving me the feeling that it'll be a 31-21 game.
New Orleans does have an opportunistic defense (8 defensive touchdowns) and being that the Colts don't run means Peyton does throw it up for grabs more than you may think (16 INTs). I think the Colts will win either way but I think a Saints cover lies in a defensive TD and I'm not taking that prop so I'm taking Indy.
Since I was 24-24-3 during the regular season and 4-4 in the playoffs, this game will probably push officially ending my average NFL picks season.
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