Saturday, January 16, 2010

Bobs NFL Divisional Playoff Picks

I missed the boat on Wild Card weekend, but below are my picks for the 4 games this weekend. An incredibly tough weekend for bets, the lines are that tough. But I've done my homework and I think I can redeem myself from my 1-3 showing last week.

New Orleans -7 vs. Arizona: I have had a very difficult time figuring Arizona out this year. I have bet on them and watched them come out as flat as any team in the NFL. I have bet against them and watched Kurt Warner look like he was back with the greatest show on turf. However, New Orleans has been waiting for this game for over a month as they ended their season with 3 meaningless losses. Arizona has lost 2 of their last 3 road games and wont have the benefit of their home crowd today.

Indianapolis -6 vs. Baltimore: This is probably the hardest game to call because in Baltimore's 7 losses this year, only 2 of them were by more than 6 points. And their loss to Indy was only by 2 points, so clearly they can play against them. But for the same reason I picked New Orleans, I will take Indy. They haven't played a meaningful game in a while so they should come out firing.

Dallas +3 @ Minnesota: This is probably my favorite bet of the day. I have bet against the Cowboys 2 weeks in a row and watched them play like the hottest team in football. They have won their last 4 games convincingly and their defense has been stellar. If there is one thing that will kill the Vikings today, its pressure on Favre early. If they fall behind, I actually think this game could get ugly.

San Diego -7 vs. NY Jets: Lets face it, the 2 wins that got the Jets into the playoffs were against teams that didn't bring their A game and their win last week was against the coldest team in the playoffs. The Jets do have a tremendous defense but they did give up a combined 116 points in their losses to NO, MIA, and NE. They can be exposed.

Playoffs: 1-3
Regular Season: 29-18-1

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